Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.176944 0.208793 0.244415 0.287165 0.337035 0.393331 0.461665
2025-08-31 0.124976 0.164520 0.213478 0.278373 0.361958 0.465806 0.604434
2025-09-07 0.100186 0.143069 0.200307 0.281935 0.394952 0.545463 0.760618
2025-09-14 0.082776 0.126473 0.188543 0.282553 0.420647 0.615238 0.909263
2025-09-21 0.068811 0.111590 0.175772 0.278236 0.436698 0.671186 1.042854
2025-09-28 0.058734 0.100508 0.166340 0.276514 0.454909 0.730615 1.186512
2025-10-05 0.053828 0.096660 0.167193 0.290301 0.497929 0.831382 1.403734
2025-10-12 0.050445 0.094700 0.170581 0.308227 0.549179 0.949921 1.661477
2025-10-19 0.046022 0.090151 0.168794 0.316782 0.585154 1.046522 1.892348
2025-10-26 0.041050 0.083786 0.162837 0.316937 0.606026 1.118980 2.088509
2025-11-02 0.035559 0.075568 0.152323 0.307196 0.607477 1.156911 2.226529
2025-11-09 0.030301 0.066994 0.139943 0.292173 0.596958 1.171502 2.322462
2025-11-16 0.027192 0.062611 0.135644 0.293373 0.619648 1.253580 2.560820
2025-11-23 0.023489 0.056388 0.126813 0.284342 0.621240 1.296242 2.729676
2025-11-30 0.021385 0.053365 0.124232 0.287972 0.649048 1.393192 3.016547
2025-12-07 0.019316 0.050061 0.120539 0.288603 0.670416 1.479114 3.289814
2025-12-14 0.017161 0.046182 0.114969 0.284197 0.680093 1.541444 3.519872
2025-12-21 0.015449 0.043108 0.110813 0.282440 0.695375 1.617134 3.786422
2025-12-28 0.014835 0.042773 0.113176 0.296510 0.748858 1.782044 4.266977
2026-01-04 0.014470 0.043043 0.117063 0.314803 0.814477 1.980803 4.844086
2026-01-11 0.013638 0.041884 0.117150 0.323532 0.857855 2.132848 5.328675
2026-01-18 0.012492 0.039638 0.114083 0.323691 0.879891 2.237026 5.710979
2026-01-25 0.011056 0.036283 0.107548 0.313750 0.874929 2.275885 5.939971